Nfl Preseason Week 1 Free Picks & Betting Trends

To do so, we can simply drill down into how they’ve performed in certain circumstances. Here are the situational records for the informative post teams in the NFC North from the 2019 campaign. When the betting lines were initially released, the Kansas City Chiefs were installed as 3.5-point favorites over the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. After the market had its say, the line dropped slightly to 3-points for the Chiefs at kickoff.

Ravens & Dolphins Thursday Night Football Matchup Intriguing To Nfl Bettors Only

The Falcons don’t have much offensively and the Patriots have been near dominant defensively, which adds up to the lower point total. This site is neither endorsed, nor sponsored by, nor affiliated with San Francisco 49ers or NFL Enterprises LLC. 49ers is a registered trademark of the Forty Niners Football Company LLC. All teams and players mentioned are registered trademarks of the NFL and its respective teams. The use of any team names, words, trademarks, logos or photos have been used for descriptive purposes only. The content and information from other sites is the property of their respective owners. Player and team photos used with permission from USA TODAY Sports Images.

Los Angeles Rams Vs San Francisco 49ers Odds, Pick, Prediction 11

As always, these trends are not always indicative of future results but can help you better frame the odds as you’re investigating the slate for the best betting lines. • Indianapolis is on track to be the fifth team since the 1970 merger to be at least a touchdown favorite in Week 1 after missing the playoffs the previous season. All four previous teams failed to cover, and three of the four lost outright.

This is an example of a trend that might hold up the next time the Raiders play Kansas City. The Raiders have not managed to cover the spread in their last four attempts against KC. Not much has changed about the composition of the teams in recent years – Patrick Mahomes has been running the Chiefs for a bit now, and Derek Carr is still under center for the Raiders. They are not a substitute for doing your own legwork and analysis on a matchup. Favorites taking the heaviest money action include the Patriots over the Jets, the Broncos over the Jaguars, and the Bills over the Dolphins.

Opening Odds

• In the past 20 seasons, teams that lost in the Super Bowl the previous season are 4-16 ATS in Week 1 the following season. • Last season, New England was favored by a combined 35 points over Miami, the second-largest combined spread in regular-season matchups in the past 25 seasons. However, Miami won these teams’ Week 17 matchup last season as a 17-point underdog, the largest upset the Dolphins have had in the Super Bowl era. • Kansas City has won and covered nine straight games dating to last season. In Week 7, the totals continued to trend lower as the under went 8-5 on the week.

Nfl Thursday Night Football Trends

Patrick Mahomes said he feels “fine” after exiting in the fourth quarter of the Week 7 loss to the Titans. Mahomes was checked for a concussion but apparently passed the tests and was able to stay on the sideline for the final minutes of the Chiefs’ loss. Already down 27-3 at the time of the big hit he took, the Chiefs were just protecting Mahomes from himself in a game that was already over. Look for Mahomes to be under center next week against the Giants.

Dolphins are ATS as a road underdog of less than 5 since 2008. Dolphins are 21-7 ATS as a home underdog after two straight losses the previous 28 instances. Dolphins are ATS at home against teams with losing records since 2003.

As far as NFL standings go, we have against the spread NFL standings and betting records, as well as your standard NFL standings. Our ATS standings include Over/Under, ATS Home/Away, and ATS Favorite/Underdog, while the customary standings factor in Grass/Turf and Conference/Division. There have been 39 games that have been decided by three or fewer points this year, tied with the 1997 season for the fifth-most such games at this point of a season. Under is 7-3 in Football Team last 10 games as an underdog.

Saints Love Being The Underdog

I am an employee of DraftKings and am ineligible to play in public DFS or DKSB contests. Dolphins are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games as a home underdog. Power Rankings are PFF’s NFL power ratings based on weekly player grades in each facet of play. These power rankings are adjusted based on coach, quarterback and the market each season.